The War in The South Has Been Won!

Syrian Arab Army’s swift advance in Southern Syria has led to the collapse of foreign-backed terrorists, says Saurabh Kumar Shahi

The rapid capture of territories in South East Syria has left everyone stunned. But none more than the United States, Saudi Arabia and Israel, who have supported and funded terrorists in Syria since the inception of insurrection. The United States blew hot and cold before the commencement of operations in the southern provinces and Darra and Quinetra, and gave thinly veiled threats against the Syrian Arab Army. However, as columns of tanks bearing flags of the Syrian Arab Republic and Russia started marching towards the rebel stronghold of Bushraal-Sham, the strategists sitting in Washington thought better of it.
Israel had pinned hope on the continued occupation of Southern Syria by Wahhabi ultras that it supported with money and material, and its collapse has sent Tel Aviv reeling. The collapse was sudden. The entire South East Syria was under Damascus’ control in less than six days, and this has rattled Israel. It knows that the logical progression from this is operation in South West Syria that borders Israeli occupied Golan Heights.
Sources inside Syria maintain that while Israel might attack SAA’s position once in a while, it realises that it cannot now stop the eventual defeat of terrorists at its border, which it supported all long the conflict. Benjamin Netanyahu’s repeated trips to Moscow to force Assad’s hands didn’t work. President Putin curtly replied that entire Syria will be liberated and that he is in no position to ask Assad how to run his country. This terse no reverberated not only in Tel Aviv but in Washington as well.
The United States under Trump considers being in Syria and Iraq as a bad business and the upcoming summit with Putin will see some progress in this regard. Sources maintain that the US will likely not only agree to vacate Al Tanf region and border but will in all certainty also put in a timeline for withdrawal from Northern Syria that it has occupied with the help of its Kurdish allies.
“Despite Trump’s limited knowledge of foreign policy and being unaware of the consequences of his decisions in the international arena, however, he found no convincing elements in the presentation by his administration where US forces could benefit from the continuation of their presence in such a hostile environment and without suffering hits in the future. Trump’s biggest fear to see the US Special Forces deployed in the north of Syria and in Iraq returning to the country ‘in plastic bags’. He would certainly find it hard to offer any explanation for the US occupation of the Levant after the defeat of ISIS or what remained of it in Syria and Iraq,” says Elijah Magnier, noted Middle East expert and journalist.
An indication of what is in store in the North came last week when Kurdish SDF started sending frantic feelers to Damascus for an “unconditional talk.” They have also quietly agreed to a lot of demands from Damascus, including joint management of cities in Hashakah province and allowing the residents of Kurdish controlled areas to serve their compulsory military tenure with the Syrian Arab Army. This indicates that SDF and Kurds are preparing for a post-US scenario.
This has left Israel with no cards to play. It knows that while it can play Trump’s Jewish son-in-law and advisor Jared Kushner for its own benefit, there is a limit to which that card is played. If Trump believes that withdrawing troops from Syria will improve his dynamics with Putin, he will go ahead with it irrespective of what Tel Aviv or its minions in the US believe.
The only concession—that too very strategic in nature—that Assad has given is that it has barred Iranian Revolutionary Guards, Iran supported militias and Hezbollah to participate in the Southern operations in order to minimise Israel’s retaliation. But as soon as the area is cleared, nothing can stop Assad from deploying them in the region. There is no long-term promise by Assad not to do so, and Israel realises that it can do nothing about it. It will have to live with the new reality.
“Russian considers that the US and Israel have accepted the defeat of the ‘regime change’ goal in Syria and that this failed attempt, after over 7 years of war, strengthen the ‘Axis of the Resistance’ despite billions of dollars invested to break off Syria from this ‘axis’. Moreover, it is aware that it was the Obama administration that allowed ISIS to grow without timely intervention to stop it, creating a local force, in Iraq hostile to the US,” adds Magnier.
After a pause of a few days, operations will restart in Syria’s South West. The focus as of now is to capture the city of Darra. After the capture of strategic Nassib Border with Jordan yesterday, Syrian Arab Army is tactically well placed to take back the entire city of Darra that it controls partially. The next few weeks are going to be crucial. Watch this space.